CCPR/C/120/D/2601/2015 Instead, the majority merely repeats the author’s improbable and highly speculative allegations about threats from a variety of political elements, such as ISIL or pro-Saddam forces, who do not currently have a strong presence in Baghdad and are not likely to take an interest in an individual with the author’s profile. We thus believe that the majority also erred in applying the relevant substantive non-refoulement standards of the Covenant. 14